ComRes/Centrum Campaign / Electoral Calculus European Parliament Voting Intention:
Poll | MRP | |
Con | 14% | 14% |
Lab | 26% | 27% |
BRX | 28% | 26% |
LD | 11% | 11% |
CHUK | 8% | 8% |
UKIP | 2% | 3% |
SNP/PC | 4% | 4% |
Green | 6% | 6% |
Other | 1% | <1% |
- The Brexit Party and the Labour Party are neck-and-neck to ‘win’ the European Parliamentary elections in the UK, with both parties polling in the mid-to-high 20s across both traditional polling and MRP.
- The rise of The Brexit Party seems to be having a greatest impact on the Conservative vote share, which is down in the teens.
- The split of the ‘Remain’ vote between Change UK, the Liberal Democrats and the Green Party could prevent any from making large breakthroughs in terms of seats.