Base: All respondents likely to vote and expressing a voting intention (n=1,791)
(nb adds up to 99% due to rounding)
(% in brackets relate to ComRes/Daily Telegraph poll on 9th July 2019)
- Labour leads with a 28% share of the vote, staying in line with results throughout early July 2019.
- Conservatives see their lead ahead of the Brexit Party close to 4 percentage points (24% vs 20%).
- Amongst 2016 Leave voters, the Brexit Party leads the polls with 39% of the vote. Conversely, amongst 2016 Remain voters, Labour leads the polls with 39% of the vote.
- The Liberal Democrats’ share of the vote decreased by 2 percentage point since June 2019, but remained up 8 percentage points since April 2019.
- If the parties were to achieve these vote shares at a General Election it would result in Labour being the largest party but 43 seats short of a majority (Con 198, Lab 283, SNP 40, LD 50, Grn 1, PC 3, Brex 57 source: www.electoralcalculus.co.uk)