Labour (34%) remains one point ahead of the Conservatives (33%) with both parties unchanged from the last online ComRes poll for the Sunday Mirror andIndependent on Sunday at the end of 2014. UKIP also remain static on 18%, with the Liberal Democrat’s down one point and the Greens up one to 3%.
Con 33% (NC)
Lab 34% (NC)
LD 7% (-1)
UKIP 18% (NC)
Greens 3% (+1)
Others 5% (NC)
Tom Mludzinski, Head of Political Polling said, “There’s currently only one point between the two main parties and with a third of people still making their mind up the result of this election really is up in air. A number of outcomes are still possible.”
- Boris Johnson remains the politician considered most favourably by voters, although his favourability rating has fallen four points since June to 37%.
- For the second time in the Favourability Index, the Conservatives (29%) are considered more favourably than Labour (26%).
- The Labour leadership continues to struggle – just 17% say that they are favourable towards Ed Miliband - lower than the proportion who say the same for George Osborne (21%). Ed Balls is considered favourably by just one in eight Britons (12%) – putting him in line with the Liberal Democrats (13%) and Nick Clegg (11%).
The Special Relationship
- Just three in ten Britons (29%) think that the relationship between the UK and the USA should not be so close.
- Although 39% of the public say that they are already bored with news about the general election, half (49%) disagree.
- Two in five British adults (42%) say that they’ve never had a political party knock on their door or call their phone.
- Although half of Britons (53%) say that they have definitely decided who they will vote for at the next General Election, one in three (36%) say that they might change their mind who they will vote for – including half (51%) of people who voted for the Liberal Democrats in 2010.
- A similar proportion of Britons think that the Conservatives want to dismantle the NHS if they win the next election (41%) as think a Labour government would lead to economic chaos (42%).
- However, worryingly for the Labour leadership, in the wake of accusations that Ed Miliband said he wanted to “weaponise” the NHS, half of Britons (49%) think he is using the issue of the NHS for his political advantage, not because he cares about it. This includes one in five (19%) Labour voters.
Findings in detail
How favourable or unfavourable are you to each of the following?
|Boris Johnson*||37% (-4)||30%||27%||6%||+7 (-6)|
|The Conservative Party||29% (+4)||45%||20%||5%||-16 (+7)|
|David Cameron||28% (+3)||46%||21%||5%||-18 (+5)|
|The Green Party||28% (+1)||28%||36%||8%||0 (+2)|
|UKIP||26% (-1)||48%||20%||6%||-22 (-6)|
|The Labour Party||26% (-4)||45%||23%||6%||-19 (-6)|
|Nigel Farage||23% (-3)||48%||22%||6%||-25 (-7)|
|George Osborne||19% (-2)||45%||29%||8%||-26 (-2)|
|Ed Miliband||17% (-2)||51%||25%||6%||-34 (-4)|
|The Liberal Democrats**||13% (NC)||51%||30%||6%||-38 (+2)|
|Ed Balls||12% (-4)||51%||28%||8%||-39 (-7)|
|Nick Clegg**||11% (-1)||54%||29%||5%||-43 (NC)|
Base: All GB adults (n=2,023). Figures in brackets changes from September, exception: *changes from June 2014, **changes from August 2014.
- Favourability with Ed Balls has fallen four points seeing just one in eight Britons (12%) have a favourable view of the Shadow Chancellor. Just one in three Labour voters (36%) are favourable towards him.
- David Cameron is considered more favourably than Boris Johnson by Conservative voters (Cameron: 77%, Johnson: 65%), but the London mayor is considered more favourably by Labour voters (Cameron: 9%, Johnson: 20%) and UKIP voters (Cameron: 20%, Johnson: 45%), showing Boris’ greater cross-party appeal.
- Just 2% of UKIP voters have a favourable view of Ed Miliband. Only 3% of Conservative voters say the same.
The Special Relationship
Q: Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?
|Britain’s relationship with the USA should not be so close||29%||52%||19%|
Base: All GB adults (n=2,023).
- Conservative voters (22%) are the least likely to think that Britain’s relationship with the USA should not be so close. Green voters (44%) are most likely to think so.
- One in three Labour (34%), UKIP (31%) and Liberal Democrats (33%) say the same.