NEW EURO ELECTION POLL: LABOUR AND UKIP NECK AND NECK
Labour and UKIP are now neck-and-neck heading into May’s elections for the European Parliament according to a new Savanta ComRes poll for The People. Among those saying that they are certain to vote, 30% say that they would vote for Labour, up two points since the last Savanta ComRes poll in March. This puts Ed Milband’s party level with UKIP who remain on 30%. The Conservatives remain largely unchanged on 22% while the Liberal Democrats remain on 8%.
Conservative 22% (+1)
Labour 30% (+2)
Liberal Democrat 8% (NC)
UKIP 30% (NC)
Other 10% (-3)
Base: All those 10/10 likely to vote registering a voting intention (n=770).
The poll sees neither UKIP nor the Liberal Democrats receive a poll boost following the debates between their leaders on Britain’s membership on the European Union over the past two weeks. Fieldwork for the poll took place during the day of and the day after the second debate and it would appear to have had no noticeable effect on people’s voting intentions. Very similar proportions said they would vote for both UKIP and the Liberal Democrats before and after the debates.
Tom Mludzinski, Head of Political Polling, Savanta ComRes said: “Another poll shows the Conservatives finishing third in the European Elections and with just a year to go until the next election, falling behind UKIP would be a blow for David Cameron and his party, likely fuelling many of his own backbenchers to call for a shift to the right. Of course European Elections are very different from General Elections but with Labour requiring a swing of just 2% in May 2015 to win the most seats it is likely to set nerves jangling across the Conservative Party.”
Savanta ComRes interviewed 2,067 GB adults online between 2nd and 3rd April 2014. Data were weighted to be demographically representative of all GB adults. Data were also weighted by past vote recall. Savanta ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules.